Name: margalit
Location: Massachusetts, United States Professional writer, educational advocate, opinionated ultra liberal mother of 18 year old twins, living life in the slow lane due to hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, congestive heart failure, and diabetes.

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Sunday, October 05, 2008

Electoral map is shifting in Obama's favor

Today's NY Times has a great article on how the polls are shifting to Obama, with 50% of persons polled saying that they are going to vote Democratic. The accompanying graphic shows just how the shift is taking place.

According to the article, the weaker economy is playing in Obama's favor as most Americans realize that the Bush administration in general, and Republicans in particular, are responsible for deregulation that has lead to the economic meltdown. The more the economy stays in the news as the most important story, the better it is for the Democrats. I don't believe that the economy is going to disappear from the front pages anytime soon, so Obama is really getting a great push forward by suggesting change and regulations.

In the meantime, McCain is campaigning in the 'swing states' that have voted Democratic in the past, but are normally Republican states. One is New Hampshire, and from what I can tell, most Hampsters aren't falling for the Republican nonsense. Hampsters are, for the most part, libertarians and don't like any government. Heck, they don't even like seatbelts. But they're not morons. They are feeling the pinch of this financial crisis just like everyone else. Biden is appearing in New Hampshire tomorrow, and I believe he'll draw large crowds.

According to the article:

Mr. Obama now has a solid lead in states that account for 189 electoral votes, and he is well positioned in states representing 71 more electoral votes, for a total of 260, according to a tally by The New York Times, based on polls and interviews with officials from both campaigns and outside analysts. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.

Mr. McCain has solid leads in states with 160 electoral votes and is well positioned in states with another 40 electoral votes, according to the Times tally, for a total of 200. Just six states representing 78 electoral votes — Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia — are tossups.

Mr. Obama appears to have significantly more options to reach the 270 threshold, particularly if Mr. McCain fails to win any states that Democrats won in 2004, like Pennsylvania, where the Republican ticket has been competing especially vigorously.

The Washington Post has a similar article. They suggest that a combination of factors -- the tumult in the financial and credit markets, the performance of the two candidates in responding to it, and increased doubts about Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin -- have contributed to Obama's lead in the polls. "Strategists see Iowa and New Mexico, both of which went narrowly for Bush four years ago, as leaning strongly toward Obama. Two other red states, Virginia and Colorado, now tilt slightly toward Obama. And McCain faces fights in states that once were considered virtually off-limits to Democrats, such as North Carolina and Indiana."

In the meantime, Palin is throwing more ridiculous accusations at Obama, today saying that he's a known friend of Ayres, a "known terrorist". She is really learning from the master of the smear, taking on the role of Dick Cheney. It's kind of obvious that Karl Rove is lurking behind her pulling the strings. She is starting to really irritate me. Not only is she a joke, a moron, an intolerant bitch and scarily dumb, she's allowing herself to be used as the hit person for that old man. What kind of self esteem must she have to think that this behavior is OK? To know that she's being used, that she is only in that role to pander to women that McCain believes are so stupid that we don't see any difference between Palin and Hilary Clinton. Because they both have vaginas, so they must be the same, right? It makes me sick.

I don't know about you, but I'm counting the days until Nov. 4th. I cannot wait to vote. I just wish it took more than a couple of minutes, because it's going to feel like kind of a let down after so many months of this huge buildup. All I have to say is, Obama better win because I do not want to have to move back to Israel. But if McCain and Palin win, I'm outta here. I think Israel is safer than the USA under those two.

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Blogger Daisy said...

Do you think she really knows she's being used? They're using her to pretty up the ticket, pander to the ultra right wing, and distract from McCain's incompetence. I'm not sure she realizes any of this.

5/10/08 4:24 PM  
Blogger margalit said...

I think she must. But she's so ambitious that it doesn't matter. Any mother that would use her kids as props really doesn't care about anything but furthering her career. She's pretty damn shallow IMO.

6/10/08 12:49 AM  

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